>> i think most people aren't focused on this, the payroll tax holiday will expire, so that's a 2% tax increase. but i don't think most people even realize they got the tax cut and it's one of the reasons why it will go away because policymakers aren't getting any credit for it. >> so if we they mathematically it will be a hit to gdp, is it going to be something that the economy gets knocked off course is this>> i think the final deal will have fiscal drag in it. the expiration of the payroll tax holiday will be part of that. emergency unemployment insurance program will expire. and of course that higher tax rate on upper income households. >> a lot of people will be without those job rest benefits. >> and if you look at all the stimulus that's been provided since the recession hit will, part of that is emergency unemployment insurance. yeah. so that's been a big part of it. it is winding down because unemployment in the united states is declining. and people have run out of time. >> how important was the ability to raise the debt limit without hitting the ceiling constantly? >> the de